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Where I used this
Winning the mass-market entry segment with Galaxy J2 4G and J2 Core reached a run-rate of about 2,600 units a day.
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Bottom-up beats top-down
"If we get just 1% of a billion-dollar market" is the weakest line in any pitch. Build the number from the customers you can name, the value each brings and the share you can realistically win with your channels and team. Then sanity-check it against competitors' revenue.
- Serviceable share narrows TAM to the people your product, price, language and distribution can actually reach today.
- Obtainable share should reflect your sales capacity and the competition, not ambition.
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Questions
What is the difference between TAM, SAM and SOM?
TAM is everyone who could buy. SAM is the part you can serve with your current product and channels. SOM is the share of SAM you can realistically win in the next few years.
Should I use top-down or bottom-up sizing?
Bottom-up, built from customer counts and value per customer, is more credible. Use top-down industry reports only as a cross-check.
What obtainable share is realistic?
It depends on competition and resources. Single-digit percentages of SAM over three to five years are common planning assumptions for new entrants.